Moderators: JeffN, carolve, Heather McDougall
Heretic wrote:I decided to share it with you since I thought you might be interested.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7270479
"Cholesterol, coconuts, and diet on Polynesian atolls: a natural experiment: the Pukapuka and Tokelau island studies."
Prior IA, Davidson F, Salmond CE, Czochanska Z.
Am J Clin Nutr. 1981 Aug;34( 8 ) :1552-61
See also some comments on:
http://boards.webmd.com/webx?THDX@@.89a ... =.89ac0b99
Stan (Heretic)
Heretic wrote:
Re: Dr. Castelli and cholesterol
Dr. William Castelli of the Framingham Study? This is what he allegedly said about cholesterol, at another time, quote:
"In Framingham, Massachusetts," admitted Dr William Castelli, Kannel's successor, "the more saturated fat one ate, the more cholesterol one ate, the more calories one ate, the lower people's serum cholesterol ... we found that the people who ate the most cholesterol, ate the most saturated fat, ate the most calories, weighed the least and were the most physically active." 30 Hubert H, et al, Circulation, 1983, 67:968; Smith, R and E R Pinckney, Diet, Blood Cholesterol and Coronary Heart Disease: A Critical Review of the Literature, Vol 2, 1991, Vector Enterprises, Sherman Oaks, CA. Castelli, William, "Concerning the Possibility of a Nut...", Archives of Internal Medicine 152(7):1371-1372, July 1992
Regards,
Stan (Heretic)
JeffN wrote:xetaprime wrote:Hi Jeff,
Are there any certainties?
You often tell people to keep on track,here at McDougall, but how do you know for certain you can say anything if there are always qualifications and variables etc.?
I ask people to focus on the main issues and the things that matter most, which is often translated to the 95-98% discussion.
My willingness to be open to what is known as "outliers" does not invalidate the main issue being discussed. The fact that we can find someone who lived to be 100 and smoked does not mean that we can't say, based on the over-riding trend of the evidence, that smoking will increase your risk of cancer.
This issue, is discussed in the Triage Your Health thread, as the WHO organization discussed it in one of their latest documents, "Preventing Chronic Diseases: A Vital Investment" (06/06/2005)
Quoting..
“ My grandfather smoked and was overweight and he lived to 96”.
Answer: In any population, there will be a certain number of people who do not demonstrate the typical patterns seen in the vast majority. For chronic diseases, there are two major types: 1) people with many chronic disease risk factors, who nonetheless live a healthy and long life; 2) people with no or few chronic disease risk factors, who nonetheless develop chronic disease and/or die from complications at a young age.
These people undeniably exist, but they are rare. The vast majority of chronic disease can be traced back to the common risk factors, and can be prevented by eliminating these risks.
In Health
Jeff
karin_kiwi wrote:A hundred people run across a busy eight-lane freeway. 78 are hit and killed outright, 14 are hit and die later of their injuries, 6 are hit but eventually recover and 2 make it across unscathed.
Does that mean we shouldn't say "don't go on the freeway because it's dangerous?" I'm quite happy to say with certainty that people should keep off the freeway - the exceptions prove nothing nor undermine my knowledge.
It's unreasonable to ask for a 100% standard, especially with something as complicated as biology. It's the same line the cigarette companies and a few others take about the "smoking doesn't cause lung cancer because some people who've never smoked get it and some people who smoke all their lives never get it." At some point there is a threshold of evidence that just can't be ignored - even if it's far away from 100%.
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