Correlation between solar cycles and arthritis (!)?

For those questions and discussions on the McDougall program that don’t seem to fit in any other forum.

Moderators: JeffN, f1jim, John McDougall, carolve, Heather McDougall

Correlation between solar cycles and arthritis (!)?

Postby Risto » Tue Jun 16, 2015 2:41 am

A research paper claims to have found a correlation between solar cycles (10-11 years) and geomagnetic effects and the incidence of giant cell arteritis and rheumatoid arthritis. The data is from US cohorts between 1950 and 2007. Link to the open-access paper in BMJ Open: Wing et al. (2015): Do solar cycles influence giant cell arteritis and rheumatoid arthritis incidence?

The correlations look fairly impressive in the plots. Then, at the end of the paper, there's this bit:

The present study analysed data from only one location, namely, one county in southern Minnesota. The short time span of the data, covering only 4–5 solar cycles, may have contributed to the weak statistics.


The authors don't propose any mechanism of how solar activity might relate to the onset of arthritis, but refer to hypotheses about melatonin secretion being affected by geomagnetic effects and/or the cloud cover. Not a word on diet, except for vitamin D deficiency, on the list of potential causes of arthritis.

I'd guess the paper might one day be used as a cautionary example of the application of statistics, if it wasn't for the volume of this sort of stuff that gets published.
Risto
 
Posts: 716
Joined: Thu Jul 03, 2014 4:27 pm
Location: Turku, Finland

Return to The Lounge

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests



Welcome!

Sign up to receive our regular articles, recipes, and news about upcoming events.